After a good win against Sri Lanka in Perth a couple of days ago, Australia will now take on England in what is set to be a do-or-die clash between the two arch-rivals.
Unfortunately, it looks like rain will play a key point with it having rained in Melbourne for most of the day. While England dropped its most recent match to Ireland, the side is still a dangerous team and coming away with one point might be as good as a win for Australia.
With only two teams getting through to the semi-final stages from each group and New Zealand comfortably in the top spot still needing to play a couple of lower-ranked teams in Sri Lanka and Ireland, this match between Australia and England is looking like a battle for second.
Marcus Stoinis was the key to victory against Sri Lanka with his record-breaking half-century while Aaron Finch could barely get the ball off the square at the other end. Glenn Maxwell also chipped in with a quick cameo before he was rattled after being struck on the throat by a bouncer.
The Finch question remains for the Aussies with experts and pundits looking for a solution. While it's hard to see the captain being dropped, the solution may be to move him down the order.
That would result in Cameron Green coming to the top of the order and Pat Cummins dropping out of the side after struggling in T20 cricket over the last couple of years. Green should be able to bowl four overs while proving some more hitting power at the top of the order while taking some pressure off David Warner.
Australia may back Finch in playing against England considering his incredible record against the old enemy. He averages 48 at a strike rate of 160 against the English.
The key to victory though will be the matchups that Australia will need to be aware of. The following are five of the most important.
David Warner v David Willey
12 runs, 15 balls, three wickets, average 4.00
The Aussie superstar at the top of the order has a clear weakness against left-arm pace. Whether it be Shaheen Afridi or David Willey, the ball coming in from over the wicket does threaten the gap between bat and pad that Warner seems to begin with.
If the English want to focus on Warner today then Willey will be their best choice to take the new ball to get things started. Traditionally, Warner has struggled against England in T20 cricket, averaging just 21 at a strike rate of 118. He will need to improve that record if Australia is to post a winning score.
Moeen Ali v Glenn Maxwell
19 runs, 25 balls, two wickets, average 9.50
There is a chance that Glenn Maxwell will need to take the gloves tonight after it was revealed regular wicketkeeper Matthew Wade had contracted COVID-19. However, there is no doubt that Maxwell will need to play a role with the ball when Moeen Ali comes out in the middle order.
While Ali is considered one of the best players of spin in the world, he has struggled against the Maxwell off-spin, being missed twice but more importantly having a strike rate of just 76. If Australia does go with dropping Pat Cummins ,it may be Maxwell who needs to step up and bowl some extra overs.
Marcus Stoinis v Mark Wood
36 runs, 28 balls, two wickets, average 18.00
Marcus Stoinis is coming off what is probably his best T20I innings of all time after taking down the Sri Lankan bowlers, scoring 59 from just 18 balls and breaking records from Glenn Maxwell and Tim David.
Stoinis is important in the middle order with his ability to play the ultra-fast bowling of Mark Wood - something that can't be said about Australia's openers anymore. A record of 36 from 28 balls against Wood is not bad considering the skills Wood brings. However, with Wood having removed Stoinis twice before, this is a matchup that could go either way.
Jos Buttler v Adam Zampa
65 runs, 39 balls, two wickets, average 32.50
Jos Buttler is perhaps the most in-form batter in the world and the key to the Aussies beating their rivals will be to remove the English captain early. The plan will likely be to bowl the quick men at a shorter length in the hope they can grab an outside edge.
If Buttler doesn't depart early though the Aussies could be in some trouble with the fury he takes to Adam Zampa's bowling. Striking at 10 runs per over against the leggie, Buttler will certainly look to take him down. Perhaps the answer is to play Ashton Agar instead who he strikes at eight runs per over against, albeit it having only been dismissed once for 86 runs.
Aaron Finch v Adil Rashid
68 runs, 55 balls, two wickets, average 34.00
Today could be the day that makes or breaks the Australian captain's career. He can silence all the critics with a big innings or he could cave to the calls that have asked him to turn his back on cricket and walk away.
If he does move to the middle order as has been suggested then it's likely he will come up against Adil Rashid in the middle overs. The good news is Finch has enjoyed playing against him in the past striking at 7.41 runs per over while averaging 34. We could well see that signature Aaron Finch slog sweep come out of the bag.
Australia will continue its T20 World Cup campaign against England at 7pm tonight. With some rain around, it could however be a reduced match at the MCG.
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